Monday, November 25, 2013

Over 3,000 space payloads to be launched over next 20 years

An estimated 3,164 space payloads are proposed to be built and launched to earth or deep space orbits between 2013 and 2032, according to Teal Group, an aerospace and defense market analysis firm based in Fairfax, Va. They estimate the value of these satellites and other space payloads at more than $235 billion.

Teal analysts identify and quantify 276 proposed launches in 2013 (minus the 150 launched through Nov. 20), 481 in 2014, 481 in 2015, 329 in 2016, 173 in 2017, 102 in 2019, 111 in 2020, 98 in 2021, 103 in 2022, 81 in 2023, 82 in 2024, 99 in 2025, 89 in 2026, 75 in 2027, 83 in 2028, 86 in 2029, 104 in 2030, 79 in 2031, and 85 in 2032.

"Keep in mind, probably half (or more) of the spacecraft announced and identified in our Teal Group Worldwide Mission Model will never be built and launched, because of insufficient funding or technical challenges,” said Marco Caceres, a lead analyst for Teal Group. “And other spacecraft not yet proposed or even conceived will be built and launched.”

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